Home Forums General/Random/Off Topic WPA Review- TB-TEX ALDS

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    Abbey Pendleton

    <p>Previous Reviews:MIN/NYYPHI/CIN</p><p>This is the first non-sweep of the division series to date and the only division series to feature repeat starting pitchers.Best GamesT-4. Colby Lewis, Game 35 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 5 BB, 5 K, +.240 WPA</p><p>At the risk of offending Carson, its hard for me to state that Lewis pitched too well in game 3, due to the fact from the five walks and 7 total baserunners in just five innings. However, one cant argue using the run total, and its because of the shutout innings inside a tight game 1-0 Rangers at the time of his exit that Lewis received a +.240 WPA for his efforts.</p><p>T-4. C.J. Wilson, Game 26.1 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 7 K, 2 BB, +.240 WPA</p><p>This would be a pretty fantastic start, however it gets overshadowed partly by the fact that the Rangers scored five runs behind Wilson and much more by the fact that it followed the ridiculous starts by Cliff Lee, Roy Halladay, and Tim Lincecum. 6.1 scorele s innings using the stuff Wilson showed within this start deserves more credit than it received. </p><p>3. Carlos Pena, Game 32-3, HR, 2 R, 3 RBI, 2 BB, +.256 WPA</p><p>Pena struggled mightily against Cliff Lee in game 1 and didnt see the field whatsoever in game 2. The first baseman broke out in game Ziggy Ansah Jersey three, reaching base 4 times, together with a game tying RBI single off Darren Oliver within the seventh and then a two run homer within the ninth to put the Rays up four and knock the Rangers win expectancy all the way down to 2.0%.</p><p>2. Cliff Lee, Game 17 IP, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 R, 10 K, 0 BB, +.260 WPA</p><p>The first start from the postseason now seems pedestrian for Lee. The Rangers ace baffled the Rays for seven innings, with the only damage developing a Ben Zobrist homer. As the Rangers managed to chip away off of David Price, scoring five runs by the time Lee left the game, Lees WPA isnt terribly impre sive, but dont allow that to remove from this start.</p><p>1. Cliff Lee, Game 59 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 11 K, 0 BB, +.477 WPA</p><p>Take all the greatne s of Lees begin. Now add two innings, a strikeout, and switch the run from a homer to one that the Rays were forced to manufacture. Finally, throw in that it clinched the Rangers first playoff series victory ever in a game which was played within two runs for that first eight innings, and you’ve got easily the largest performance of the ALDS. </p><p>Worst GamesT-5. Nelson Cruz, Game 31-4, HR, R, RBI, GIDP, -.142 WPA</p><p>Cruzs homer was utterly meaningle s, because it was a solo shot with the Dwayne Washington Jersey Rangers down 6-2 in the ninth inning (+.012 WPA) Far more e sential were his GIDP within the third inning having a 1-0 lead (-.072 WPA) and the inning ending lineout to SS in the sixth (-.065 WPA).</p><p>T-5. Darren Oliver, Game 31.1 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 3 K, -.142 WPA</p><p>Olivers first inning went easily enough, as he worked around a Ben Zobrist double for any scorele s seventh. However, the Rays tagged the lefty in the eighth, as Dan Johnson roped a double off the beaten track and then Carlos Pena singled home the pinch runner Desmond Jennings. That allowed the Rays to obtain into the game; when Oliver left, the Rays win expectancy was 50.1%.</p><p>4. Chad Qualls, Game 2.1 IP, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 ER -.185 WPA</p><p>Qualls was thrust directly into the fire in game two, replacing James Shields with two runners on. It appeared that Qualls had induced a swinging strikeout against Michael Young, but the umpires ruled that Young checked his swing. Young then proceeded to blast a three run homer that basically put the Rangers up for good, giving them a five run lead. Qualls couldnt get anybody out next either, ending with the four hits allowed in just another of the inning.</p><p>3. Carl Crawford, Game 50-4, -.186 WPA</p><p>Crawford simply couldnt produce in the last game as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays. He reached on two fielders choices, but each led to the force from the lead runner, once at second (-.030 WPA) and once, Kyle Van Noy Jersey with two in scoring position in a tie game, at home plate (-.101 WPA).</p><p>2. David Price, Game 16.2 IP, 9 H, 2 HR, 4 R, 8 K, -.203</p><p>Price was dominant sometimes throughout his game one start, as evidenced by his eight strikeouts. However, the Rangers bats could reach Price for many big blasts, particularly including home runs by Bengie Molina and Nelson Cruz. With Cliff Lee dominating the Rays, the 4 runs given up by Price were even more costly, as the Rays had a huge hole to seek out of when Price left the sport.</p><p>1. Neftali Feliz, Game 3.1 IP, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 R, 1 BB</p><p>Ron Joe Dahl Jersey Washington was scolded by many because of not going to Netali Feliz in an important but non-save situation in game One of the ALCS. He did just that in the eighth inning of game 3, investing in Feliz with two outs along with a runner on first inside a tie game. Feliz couldnt complete the job, though, as he walked Jason Bartlett after which allowed the go-ahead single from the bat of fellow rookie John Jaso. Feliz were able to finish the inning without allowing any more runs, but Carl Crawford chased him after opening the Rays half of the ninth having a solo home run. Feliz left the Rangers with a mere 8.2% win expectancy.</p><p>Best SeriesHitter: Ian Kinsler8-18, 3 HR, 5 R, 6 RBI, 2 BB, +.451 WPA</p><p>Kinslers three home runs were key for the Rangers. His game two home run gave the Rangers a two run cushion against James Shields. In game three, Kinslers home run gave the Rangers a one run lead in the seventh inning as well as an inside track in a game that will eventually become blown by Neftali Feliz. In game five, his homer off Rafael Soriano within the ninth inning effectively dashed all hopes for the Rays.</p><p>Pitcher: Cliff Lee16 IP, 11 H, 1 HR, 2 R, 21 K, 0 BB, +.737 WPA</p><p>Was there any question? His performances, as described above, were transcendent.</p><p>Worst SeriesHitter: Carl Crawford3-21, HR, R, RBI, SB, 4 K, 0 BB, -.363 WPA</p><p>Crawford just would be a non-factor in this series beyond his game three home run. Its not too he was unclutch he’d a pLI under 1.0 in this series he just couldnt find a way to jump on base. Its unfortunate that his fantastic Rays career had to end this way, and Rays fans shouldnt allow this series to be a legacy for Crawford.</p><p>Pitcher: Neftali Feliz1.1 IP, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 R, 2 K, 3 BB, -.301 WPA</p><p>This would be a pretty much pitched series typically, but young closer Neftali Feliz received only Quandre Diggs Jersey one high-leverage appearance and was poor inside it, posting the worst game by WPA within the entire series, as detailed above.</p><p>Notables</p><p>Josh Hamilton: -.181 WPANelson Cruz: +.022 WPAEvan Longoria: -.059 WPAMatt Garza: +.035 WPAJames Shields: -.045 WPA</p><p>Game Graphs</p><p>Game 1Game 2Game 3Game 4Game 5</p>

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